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Perspective

The Valuesburg Address

One score and eight years ago Fama and French brought forth on this world, a new factor, conceived in either risk or behavioral effects, and dedicated to the proposition that all portfolios are not created equal. Now we are engaged in a great drawdown, testing whether investors in that factor, or any factor so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure…

Perspective

Never Has a Venial Sin Been Punished This Quickly and Violently!

Three months ago in “It’s Time for a Venial Value-Timing Sin,” Cliff demonstrated the value factor’s historic cheapness, suggesting it’s time to “sin a little” and modestly overweight value. While portfolio tilts are seldom promptly rewarded, it’s also rare they are instantly punished. In this piece, Cliff shows how 2020 has been the exception to the rule, as value has begun this year with its worst loss in its decade-long drawdown.

Perspective

Going Deep on Contrarian Factor Timing

We studied all the interesting things that happen when some stocks, or other assets, get deeply cheap while others get deeply expensive, and learn more about value investing and how timing works when increasing breadth of comparisons.

Journal Article

The Devil in HML's Details

This paper challenges the standard method for measuring “value” used in academic work on factor pricing.

Journal Article

Fact, Fiction and Value Investing

Value investing has been a part of the investment lexicon for at least the better part of a century, yet confusion about it remains.

Journal Article

Value and Momentum Everywhere

We find consistent value and momentum return premia across eight diverse markets and asset classes, and a strong common factor structure among their returns.

Journal Article

Value Investing in Credit Markets

In this paper we outline an approach to make use of accounting and market based information to forecast corporate default.

White Paper

Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead?

Undoubtedly, many systematic approaches to value investing have suffered recently. However, we find the popular suggestion that value investing is dead to be premature. We find expectations of fundamental information have been and continue to be an important driver of security returns.

Journal Article

Buffett's Alpha

[Winner of the CFA Institute's 2018 Graham and Dodd Award] What is the secret to Warren Buffett's success? We seek the answer via a thorough empirical analysis in light of some the latest research on the drivers of returns.

Journal Article

The Interaction of Value and Momentum Strategies

Researchers have convincingly demonstrated that value strategies can be used to predict stock returns.