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Perspective

It’s Time for a Venial Value-Timing Sin

Cliff discusses how to measure whether a factor, in this case the value factor, is itself rich or cheap versus history. The answer, regardless of the approach taken in measuring cheapness, is that value is currently quite cheap compared to history.

Bibliography

Value Investing Bibliography

We have compiled a list of books, journal articles and working papers that were helpful in developing our research around value strategies.

Journal Article

Fact, Fiction and Value Investing

Value investing has been a part of the investment lexicon for at least the better part of a century, yet confusion about it remains.

Journal Article

Value and Momentum Everywhere

We find consistent value and momentum return premia across eight diverse markets and asset classes, and a strong common factor structure among their returns.

Perspective

Never Has a Venial Sin Been Punished This Quickly and Violently!

Three months ago in “It’s Time for a Venial Value-Timing Sin,” Cliff demonstrated the value factor’s historic cheapness, suggesting it’s time to “sin a little” and modestly overweight value. While portfolio tilts are seldom promptly rewarded, it’s also rare they are instantly punished. In this piece, Cliff shows how 2020 has been the exception to the rule, as value has begun this year with its worst loss in its decade-long drawdown.

Perspective

Going Deep on Contrarian Factor Timing

We studied all the interesting things that happen when some stocks, or other assets, get deeply cheap while others get deeply expensive, and learn more about value investing and how timing works when increasing breadth of comparisons.

Data Set

Value and Momentum Everywhere: Original Paper Data

This is the original data set used for our paper “Value and Momentum Everywhere,” in which we find consistent value and momentum return premia across eight diverse markets and asset classes, and a common factor structure among their returns.

Journal Article

The Devil in HML's Details

This paper challenges the standard method for measuring “value” used in academic work on factor pricing.

Journal Article

Value Investing in Credit Markets

In this paper we outline an approach to make use of accounting and market based information to forecast corporate default.

Perspective

The Valuesburg Address

One score and eight years ago Fama and French brought forth on this world, a new factor, conceived in either risk or behavioral effects, and dedicated to the proposition that all portfolios are not created equal. Now we are engaged in a great drawdown, testing whether investors in that factor, or any factor so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure…