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Data Set

Time Series Momentum: Factors, Monthly

We have updated and extended our data set for “Time Series Momentum" (Moskowitz, Ooi and Pedersen, 2012), in which we document an asset-pricing anomaly that is consistent across different asset classes and markets. We update the returns monthly.

Sic Transit Gloria Mundi

To quote Kipling, it’s crucial to “meet with Triumph and Disaster and treat those two imposters just the same.” Cliff explains that throughout the good and bad times, we’ve stressed that long-term investment success is about sticking with real but modest edges.

Journal Article

Trends Everywhere

We provide new out-of-sample evidence on trend-following investing by studying its performance for 82 securities not previously examined and 16 long-short equity factors.

Journal Article

You Can't Always Trend When You Want

We present a framework for understanding the drivers of trend-following returns and show that recent performance challenges are primarily due to muted moves across global markets rather than a change in trend following’s ability to translate market trends into profits.

White Paper

Trend Following in Focus

We use live data of trend-focused managers starting in 2000 via the SG Trend Index to contextualize recent performance and to re-affirm the merits of the strategy.

Data Set

Time Series Momentum: Original Paper Data

This is the original data set for “Time Series Momentum" (Moskowitz, Ooi and Pedersen, 2012), in which we document an asset-pricing anomaly that is consistent across different asset classes and markets.

Journal Article

A Century of Evidence on Trend-Following Investing

We simulate a trend-following strategy back to 1880 and investigate whether strong performance over a few decades was a statistical fluke, or a more robust phenomenon that may hold true over a wide range of economic conditions.

White Paper

A Half Century of Macro Momentum

"Macro momentum has the potential to deliver strong positive returns with low correlation to traditional asset classes across macroeconomic and market environments. It may also provide diversification benefits in bear equity markets and rising yield environments. "

Journal Article

Which Trend Is Your Friend?

The academic literature and real-world investors have put forth a whole host of strategies that on the surface appear unique but that are all related to trend-following at a high level.

DC Solutions Series: Trend Following Strategies in Target-Date Funds

We focus on the need for target-date funds to better protect against losses during equity market drawdowns and to better diversify. We suggest incorporating trend following as a potential solution, which may mitigate the problems caused by equity risk concentration.