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Alternative Thinking

Why Do Most Investors Choose Concentration Over Leverage?

Return-seeking investors must take risks—the question is which to take and to understand the tradeoffs involved. Most investors choose concentration risk, but we present arguments for a different approach.

Alternative Thinking

Estimating Long Term Expected Returns

Diversification is underutilized in most institutional portfolios but may improve risk-adjusted returns, active returns and total returns more reliably than concentrated positions.

Alternative Thinking

It Was the Worst of Times: Diversification During a Century of Drawdowns

We use nearly 100 years of data to evaluate the effectiveness of diversifying investments during the worst of times for most portfolios and find that attempting to tactically avoid equity sell-offs is likely to disappoint.

Alternative Thinking

Systematic vs. Discretionary

Systematic and fundamental investing approaches are not opposites. Both pursue the same objective and can be fundamentally-oriented. They can use similar inputs, but in different ways, to try to improve investment performance. Neither is necessarily better than the other.

Alternative Thinking

Exploring Rates Sensitivity

Fed tightening has many investors interested in risks surrounding monetary policy, rising yields and inflation.

Alternative Thinking

2017 Capital Market Assumptions For Major Asset Classes

We update our multi-year expected return assumptions for major stock and bond markets. Compared with historical averages of value metrics, we beloieve we are in a low expected return environment.

Alternative Thinking

Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes

We update our medium-term expected returns for major asset classes and explore the historical accuracy of yield-based return estimates.

Trade Publication

Where the Wild Things Aren't: Using Derivatives and Leverage to Improve Portfolio Performance

In the current world of modest risk premia, investors face a choice to limit their investment options, or diversify and build more stable portfolios.

Trade Publication

Measuring Portfolio Factor Exposures: A Practical Guide

Regression analysis can help investors better understand the risk factors present in their portfolios, which has multiple benefits.

Trade Publication

Ahead of the Curve: Time to Embrace Downside Risk

Buying equity put options to reduce a portfolio’s downside risk exposure is so attractive that the high cost of doing so all but offsets the benefit, the authors contend.