Showing 1 - 10 of 17 results

Sort By
  • Relevance
  • Newest
  • Oldest

Working Paper

Credit Implied Volatility

This paper introduces the concept of a credit implied volatility surface. The credit implied volatility (CIV) can be interpretable as risk-neutral asset volatility of the underlying firm—the slope of the CIV term structure is negative in downturns and positive during expansions.

Working Paper

Causes and Consequences of Margin Levels in Futures Markets

Using a Freedom of Information Act request, we obtained a data set on margin requirements for 16 commodity futures contracts, and used it to explore how margins are set and to test the existing theories on the implications of changing margin levels.

Working Paper

Generalized Recovery

We shed new light, both theoretically and empirically, on the Holy Grail in financial economics: decoding probabilities and risk preferences from asset prices.

Working Paper

Beyond Basis Basics: Leverage Demand and Deviations from the Law of One Price

Bases are driven by intermediaries’ cost of capital and the amount of leverage demand for an asset. Focusing on leverage demand, we find bases negatively predict futures and spot market returns with the same sign in both global equities and currencies.

White Paper

PutWrite versus BuyWrite: Yes, Put-Call Parity Holds Here Too

Surprisingly, the CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index has outperformed the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index by around 1.1 percent annually between 1986 and 2015. We explain the mystery behind this outperformance and its implications for portfolio construction.

Interview

Words From the Wise: An AQR Interview with Ed Thorp

We sat down with Ed Thorp, a pioneer in the mathematical analysis of casino games and investing, to get his insights on an array of topics from casino gambling to quantitative investing.

Working Paper

Being Right is Not Enough: Buying Options to Bet on Higher Realized Volatility

Should investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these questions, we analyzed the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous changes in volatility.

Working Paper

Early Option Exercise: Never Say Never

A classic rule in financial economics: Never exercise a call option and never convert a convertible bond, except just before expiration or dividend payments. This paper shows how this rule breaks down when financial frictions are introduced.

Working Paper

Cash-Flow Maturity and Risk Premia in CDS Markets

We study the risk adjusted returns of credit default swaps of different maturities to learn more about the impact of higher sensitivities to credit fundamentals.

White Paper

Covered Calls and Their Unintended Reversal Bet

Equity index covered calls have historically realized returns not much less than their underlying index with significantly less volatility.