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Journal Article
Value and Momentum Everywhere
June 1, 2013
We find consistent value and momentum return premia across eight diverse markets and asset classes, and a strong common factor structure among their returns.
Journal Article
Do Industries Explain Momentum?
August 1, 1999
The ability to outperform buy-and-hold strategies by acquiring past winning stocks and selling past losing stocks, commonly referred to as "individual stock momentum," remains one of the most puzzling of these anomalies, both because of its magnitude (up to 12 percent abnormal return per dollar long on a self-financing strategy per year) and because of the peculiar horizon pattern that it seems to follow: Trading based on individual stock momentum appears to be a poor strategy when using a short historical horizon for portfolio formation (especially less than one month); it is highly profitable at intermediate horizons (up to 24 months, although it is strongest in the 6- to 12-month range); and is again a poor strategy at longer horizons. This paper largely focuses on the positive persistence in stock returns (or momentum effect) over intermediate investment horizons (6 to 12 months) and explores various explanations for its existence.
Working Paper
More Banks, Less Crime? The Real and Social Effects of Bank Competition
January 13, 2005
Using a unique sample of commercial loans and mergers between large banks, this paper provides microlevel (within-county) evidence linking credit conditions to economic development and finds a spillover effect on crime.
Working Paper
The Returns to Entrepreneurial Investment: A Private Equity Premium Puzzle?
November 24, 2009
Entrepreneurs tend to concentrate investments in private equity. However, research shows that private equity returns are generally no higher than the market return on all publicly traded equity. We delve into explanations for this here.
Working Paper
The Political Economy of Financial Regulation: Evidence from U.S. State Usury Laws in the 19th Century
January 24, 2007
The authors review the development of financial regulation through the lens of U.S. state usury laws in the 19th century. Among other things, they find evidence that lending activity was affected by rate ceilings.
Working Paper
Trading Costs
August 23, 2018
Using live trade data from a large institutional money manager over a 19-year period, we find actual trading costs to be an order of magnitude smaller than previous studies suggest.
Working Paper
Decision-Making Under the Gambler's Fallacy
March 11, 2015
Reviewing decisions made by judges, loan officers and umpires in high-stakes contexts, we find them to be most consistent with the "gambler's fallacy"—meaning they were based as much on their own previous decisions as on the facts they were weighing.
Journal Article
Size Matters, If You Control Your Junk
January 22, 2015
When it comes to equity investing, size matters—and in a bigger way than once thought—but only when controlling for junk. We examine seven challenges that have been hurled at the size effect and dismantle each one by controlling for a firm's quality.
Working Paper
Trading Costs of Asset Pricing Anomalies
December 5, 2012
We examine the trading costs, net-of-cost returns and break-even fund sizes of equity strategies designed to capture several of the main asset pricing anomalies documented in the literature.
Working Paper
Implementing Momentum: What Have We Learned?
December 26, 2017
We use seven years of live data to evaluate the implementability of momentum investing.