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Alternative Thinking
Exploring Rates Sensitivity
2Q 2017
Fed tightening has many investors interested in risks surrounding monetary policy, rising yields and inflation.
Alternative Thinking
2017 Capital Market Assumptions For Major Asset Classes
1Q 2017
We update our multi-year expected return assumptions for major stock and bond markets. Compared with historical averages of value metrics, we beloieve we are in a low expected return environment.
Journal Article
Understanding Style Premia
December 8, 2014
Four investment “styles" have emerged as compelling sources of alternative returns, backed by economic theory and decades of data across geographies and asset groups.
Journal Article
Exploring Macroeconomic Sensitivities
April 2, 2014
Forecasting economic and market conditions is no easy task.
White Paper
Portfolio Rebalancing, Part 1: Strategic Asset Allocation
December 18, 2015
We discuss the main considerations when designing a rebalancing process, and use a simple empirical analysis to demonstrate the drivers of relative performance over four decades.
Journal Article
Market Timing: Sin a Little
August 9, 2017
Is market timing an easy source of added value or a sin to be avoided? We examine the evidence and find that adding a dose of momentum is a practical way to enhance value timing strategies. Investors may benefit from a modest amount of market timing.
White Paper
Understanding Alternative Risk Premia
March 13, 2018
With its many potential benefits, including generally low-to-no correlation to a traditional 60/40 or hedge fund portfolio, we believe an ARP strategy may serve as a core alternative solution in investors’ portfolios.
White Paper
Value and Interest Rates: Are Rates to Blame for Value’s Torments?
May 22, 2020
Some have blamed the interest rate environment for value stocks’ underperformance of growth stocks from 2017 to early 2020, as well as the stretch of lackluster performance for some value factors since Global Financial Crisis. We find the performance of value is not easily assessed based on the interest rate environment, and that factor timing strategies based on interest rate-related signals are likely to perform poorly.
Journal Article
Asset Allocation in a Low Yield Environment
August 21, 2017
In 2016, bond yields dropped to unprecedented low levels in major developed markets. Even in a low rate environment, we think it’s important to diversify across many return sources.