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Alternative Thinking

Exploring Rates Sensitivity

Fed tightening has many investors interested in risks surrounding monetary policy, rising yields and inflation.

Alternative Thinking

2017 Capital Market Assumptions For Major Asset Classes

We update our multi-year expected return assumptions for major stock and bond markets. Compared with historical averages of value metrics, we beloieve we are in a low expected return environment.

Trade Publication

Back in the Hunt

Market timing is very hard.

Journal Article

Understanding Style Premia

Four investment “styles" have emerged as compelling sources of alternative returns, backed by economic theory and decades of data across geographies and asset groups.

Journal Article

Exploring Macroeconomic Sensitivities

Forecasting economic and market conditions is no easy task.

White Paper

Portfolio Rebalancing, Part 1: Strategic Asset Allocation

We discuss the main considerations when designing a rebalancing process, and use a simple empirical analysis to demonstrate the drivers of relative performance over four decades.

Journal Article

Market Timing: Sin a Little

Is market timing an easy source of added value or a sin to be avoided? We examine the evidence and find that adding a dose of momentum is a practical way to enhance value timing strategies. Investors may benefit from a modest amount of market timing.

White Paper

Understanding Alternative Risk Premia

With its many potential benefits, including generally low-to-no correlation to a traditional 60/40 or hedge fund portfolio, we believe an ARP strategy may serve as a core alternative solution in investors’ portfolios.

White Paper

Value and Interest Rates: Are Rates to Blame for Value’s Torments?

Some have blamed the interest rate environment for value stocks’ underperformance of growth stocks from 2017 to early 2020, as well as the stretch of lackluster performance for some value factors since Global Financial Crisis. We find the performance of value is not easily assessed based on the interest rate environment, and that factor timing strategies based on interest rate-related signals are likely to perform poorly.

Journal Article

Asset Allocation in a Low Yield Environment

In 2016, bond yields dropped to unprecedented low levels in major developed markets. Even in a low rate environment, we think it’s important to diversify across many return sources.