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Working Paper
Embedded Leverage
November 1, 2012
Embedded leverage—the amount of market exposure per unit of committed capital—has become an important feature of financial instruments. We study embedded leverage in equity options, index options and ETFs, and how it affects the required returns.
Working Paper
Early Option Exercise: Never Say Never
March 18, 2016
A classic rule in financial economics: Never exercise a call option and never convert a convertible bond, except just before expiration or dividend payments. This paper shows how this rule breaks down when financial frictions are introduced.
Working Paper
Corporate Bond Specialness
February 1, 2007
The U.S. bond market is a well-understood source of corporate financing, but research on its cash and lending markets is limited. Using a dataset of corporate bond-lending transactions, we shed light on drivers of shorting activity and shorting costs.
Working Paper
Measuring Systemic Risk
April 23, 2010
We present a simple model of systemic risk and show how each financial institution’s contribution to systemic risk can be measured and priced—its propensity to be undercapitalized when the system as a whole is undercapitalized, which increases in its leverage, volatility, correlation, and tail-dependence.
Working Paper
Generalized Recovery
March 1, 2016
We shed new light, both theoretically and empirically, on the Holy Grail in financial economics: decoding probabilities and risk preferences from asset prices.
Journal Article
Quality Minus Junk
October 9, 2013
We show that a quality-minus-junk (QMJ) factor that goes long high-quality stocks and shorts low-quality stocks earns significant risk-adjusted returns in the U.S. and globally. Also, controlling for quality resurrects the otherwise moribund size effect.
Journal Article
Asset Pricing With Liquidity Risk
June 7, 2004
This paper presents a simple theoretical model that helps explain how asset prices are affected by liquidity risk — the inability to find buyers or sellers of securities at will — and commonality in liquidity. This liquidity-adjusted capital asset pricing model (CAPM) provides a unified framework for understanding the various channels through which liquidity risk may affect asset prices.
Working Paper
Liquidity and Risk Management
February 1, 2007
This paper provides a model of the interaction between risk-management practices and market liquidity. We find that a feedback effect can arise: Tighter risk management leads to market illiquidity, which then further tightens risk management.
Working Paper
Deep Value
December 4, 2017
We examine the efficacy of a hypothetical deep value strategy—where the valuation spread between cheap and expensive securities is wide relative to its history—across global asset classes and also provide new evidence on competing theories for the value premium.
Journal Article
Regulating Systemic Risk
May 1, 2009
Systemic risk is the risk that the failure and distress of a significant part of the financial sector reduces the availability of credit which in turn may adversely affect the real economy.