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White Paper
What Drives Bond Yields?
July 26, 2021
In this overview of the various factors that influence government bond yields, we show that both in theory and in the data, non-monetary policy factors drive significant variation in yields, particularly at longer maturities. Despite the exceptionally low yield environments we have witnessed, fundamentals continue to drive bond markets.
Journal Article
(Systematic) Investing in Emerging Market Debt
March 4, 2020
We extend the analysis of systematic investment approaches to emerging market (EM) fixed income. We find that systematic exposures linked to carry, defensive, momentum and valuation themes are well compensated and lowly correlated in EM markets, and that a systematic approach to EM debt may be a powerful diversifier.
Journal Article
Active Fixed Income Illusions
December 17, 2019
Across a broad set of popular active fixed income categories, we find that passive exposures to traditional risk premia (especially exposure to credit risk) explain the majority of fixed income manager active returns.
Systematic Fixed Income: Introduction
October 9, 2018
Systematic fixed income takes a rigorous, repeatable approach to investing in bonds.
Journal Article
Style Investing in Fixed Income
March 15, 2018
A disciplined, systematic approach to over-/underweight securities based on well-known factors, or styles, such as value, momentum, carry and defensive, can offer alternative sources of outperformance not only within equities but also within fixed income markets.
White Paper
A Half Century of Macro Momentum
August 10, 2017
"Macro momentum has the potential to deliver strong positive returns with low correlation to traditional asset classes across macroeconomic and market environments. It may also provide diversification benefits in bear equity markets and rising yield environments. "
Journal Article
Superstar Investors
December 6, 2016
Many famous investors are outspoken about their investment philosophies and use them selectively. We seek to apply their wisdom systematically to determine whether their philosophies, if applied broadly, might still generate “alpha.”
Working Paper
The Complexity of Liquidity: The Extraordinary Case of Sovereign Bonds
August 1, 2016
We analyze the cross-section of developed countries’ bond spreads.We show that under certain conditions, especially credit deterioration and flight to quality, new issue, and more liquid, bond spreads tighten and become cheaper, not more expensive, relative to their less liquid counterparts.
Journal Article
Style Investing in Fixed Income Markets
April 1, 2016
A disciplined, systematic approach to over/underweight securities based on well-known factors, or styles, such as value, momentum, carry and defensive (sometimes called “quality”), can offer alternative sources of outperformance not only within equities, where these ideas have long been studied and applied, but also within fixed income markets.