Information moves security prices. How information disseminates through agents in financial markets and into security prices, though, is not as well understood. We study a particular type of this dissemination in the form of social networks.
Social networks are network structures composed of nodes (usually people or institutions) that are connected through various social relationships ranging from casual to close bonds. In the context of information flow, social networks allow a piece of information to flow, often in predictable paths, along the network. Thus, one can test the importance of the social network in disseminating information by testing its predictions on the flow of information.
Our results reveal a systematic pattern, in both holdings and returns, across the entire universe of U.S. mutual fund portfolio managers: fund managers place larger concentrated bets on companies to which they are connected through an education network and perform significantly better on these connected positions than on nonconnected positions.
Our results indicate a portfolio of connected stocks held by managers outperforms nonconnected stocks by up to 7.8% per year. This connection premium is not driven by firm, fund, school, industry or geographic location effects and is not driven by a subset of the school connections (e.g., Ivy League schools). We find that most of this premium occurs around corporate news events such as earnings announcements, lending support to the hypothesis that the excess return earned on connected stocks is driven by information flowing through the network.
European Finance Association Best Paper on Asset Pricing 2007
The information contained herein is only as current as of the date indicated, and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of AQR Capital Management, LLC, its affiliates or its employees. This information is not intended to, and does not relate specifically to any investment strategy or product that AQR offers. It is being provided merely to provide a framework to assist in the implementation of an investor’s own analysis and an investor’s own view on the topic discussed herein. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.